@jameseyryan, you are aware that Metacritic doesn't review games directly--it aggregates nearly every credible review into a Metascoare, and weights the reviews by the credibility of the reviewer. So it shouldn't be at all necessary to understand anything about a reviewer personally.
It sounds like the biggest complaint on the quality future so far is that it is harder to predict than sales...isn't this the reason to make a predictor? If something is easy to predict, what's the point of setting up new predictors of that metric?
It's good that jamesryan is looking at all those factors to price stocks and futures, but I have a feeling that many people on here trade the stocks simply from reading the game's title, summary, and looking at a few previews and screenshots. Look at the past stock price of Metroid for example. Trying to predict how good a game will be quality-wise comes down to these same factors as well.
If you think about it, predicting a game's quality should be easier than predicting the quantity of sales as the game's quality is a subset prediction of the game's sales prediction. You already have a prediction of how good the game will be in your mind when you are making a prediction on how many copies the game will sell.
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It sounds like the biggest complaint on the quality future so far is that it is harder to predict than sales...isn't this the reason to make a predictor? If something is easy to predict, what's the point of setting up new predictors of that metric?
It's good that jamesryan is looking at all those factors to price stocks and futures, but I have a feeling that many people on here trade the stocks simply from reading the game's title, summary, and looking at a few previews and screenshots. Look at the past stock price of Metroid for example. Trying to predict how good a game will be quality-wise comes down to these same factors as well.
If you think about it, predicting a game's quality should be easier than predicting the quantity of sales as the game's quality is a subset prediction of the game's sales prediction. You already have a prediction of how good the game will be in your mind when you are making a prediction on how many copies the game will sell.