Even if this game turns out to be good (like above 80% average review rating), I still don't think it will be able to hit 1.6 million, I doubt the PS3 will have an unexpected increase in sales per month in the next 6-9 months (holiday season spike is expected and taken into account), as I expect this game to come out around a year or so from now. Also, I think that this genre has become so competitive that you have to be better than good (like Halo or Gears of War level) in order to become very successful in it (sales wise). I still think a better range for this game is 1.2-1.4million (120-140DKP).
3
Even if this game turns out to be good (like above 80% average review rating), I still don't think it will be able to hit 1.6 million, I doubt the PS3 will have an unexpected increase in sales per month in the next 6-9 months (holiday season spike is expected and taken into account), as I expect this game to come out around a year or so from now. Also, I think that this genre has become so competitive that you have to be better than good (like Halo or Gears of War level) in order to become very successful in it (sales wise). I still think a better range for this game is 1.2-1.4million (120-140DKP).