There's also the factor that not everyone trading on here is aiming for a close prediction. Many players are simply trying to increase their DKP, so stocks can fluctuate as people try to create profitable opportunities.
If anyone has the time, I'd be interested in seeing if our Future's predictions become more or less accurate in the month leading up to a game's release. This could also show the effects the VGC numbers have on our predictions.
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There's also the factor that not everyone trading on here is aiming for a close prediction. Many players are simply trying to increase their DKP, so stocks can fluctuate as people try to create profitable opportunities.
If anyone has the time, I'd be interested in seeing if our Future's predictions become more or less accurate in the month leading up to a game's release. This could also show the effects the VGC numbers have on our predictions.