About Mario Party 8. In June, people think it will sell only 38DKP, (maximum ever) . Reality = 42 DKP. Lost 4 DKP (10%) In July, people think it will sell only 13.85 DKP (near release of July figure), while actual # is 17.72 DKP. Lost 4 DKP (25%).
If you shorted Mario Party 8 near NPD release, you would have lost 10% to 25%.
What was your position on MP8 during June and July period ? If you are correct at that time, you might also be correct this time. But if you position yourself incorrectly before, you may also position yourself incorrectly this time.
BTW, since I am newbie (only joined Dec 07), I don't have any history with MP8.
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About Mario Party 8. In June, people think it will sell only 38DKP, (maximum ever) . Reality = 42 DKP. Lost 4 DKP (10%)
In July, people think it will sell only 13.85 DKP (near release of July figure), while actual # is 17.72 DKP. Lost 4 DKP (25%).
If you shorted Mario Party 8 near NPD release, you would have lost 10% to 25%.
What was your position on MP8 during June and July period ? If you are correct at that time, you might also be correct this time. But if you position yourself incorrectly before, you may also position yourself incorrectly this time.
BTW, since I am newbie (only joined Dec 07), I don't have any history with MP8.