@Just_Ben, I think it depends what your approximation of US Xbox 360's vs. Global Xbox 360's is. If you think that 60% in the US is a good number, then 50 DKP is probably too high for you to be long. Personally, I think that US Xbox 360's are more than 60% of global sales, but not by a whole lot.
Secondly, it's hard to approximate what the first MSFT number means, since there is an extra week in their figures. Personally, I think the ME future will come in between 50-52 DKP. I think the MSFT numbers can be broken down by NPD period, with a close numbers between months, but more on DEC.
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I think it depends what your approximation of US Xbox 360's vs. Global Xbox 360's is. If you think that 60% in the US is a good number, then 50 DKP is probably too high for you to be long. Personally, I think that US Xbox 360's are more than 60% of global sales, but not by a whole lot.
Secondly, it's hard to approximate what the first MSFT number means, since there is an extra week in their figures. Personally, I think the ME future will come in between 50-52 DKP. I think the MSFT numbers can be broken down by NPD period, with a close numbers between months, but more on DEC.