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Mario Party DS (DS)
at 10:56PM PST on January 17, 2008.
Based on the latest info of Mario Party DS Dec 07, this stock seems underpriced.
Current MPDS LTD :
Japan : 1.5 Million (up to Jan 6, 2007)
US : 385K (Dec) + 190K (estimate of Nov) = 575K
Europe : Unknown. I'll use same figure as US = 575K
Total LTD (estimate) = 2.6 Million (for the first two months).
note about Europe. I estimate the same # as US since Europe buy a lot of DS H/W (like US), and the casual games, like Brain Training 1 & 2, are doing very, very well there (#2 in UK 2007 list), even better than US (in this regard, it more closely resemble Japan than US).
To calculate GLS :
50% increase = 2.6 * 1.5 = 3.9 Million
100% increase = 2.6 * 2 = 5.2 Million.
Conclusion : this stock is underpriced at 352 DKP price. Potential profit gain is between 10% (worst case) and 60% (best case).
Note : Mario Party might have legs, which means the 60% estimate could be too conservative (if it have legs).
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