@sagexsdx, When people try to say for instance MGS4 will only sell ~2-2.5 million because MGS3 only sold ~4 million on a larger userbase; that is when I try to say that you can't trend series' game sales linearly.
Since that series has had its first game on each console its been released on sell the best. I believe you need to figure that into the equation. MGS2 sold ~5.6 million. Thus if we do not just trend a series by its linear sales, we can use that data to come up with a more reasonable prediction for MGS4 to sell ~3-5 million.
Same point would apply to the FF series, Gran Turismo, & other franchises. We shouldn't try to predict sales based on linear trends because we need to take into account the first title on a console phenomenon. That is all I am trying to say.
I am not trying to claim actual sale #s based on what the last first game released on a console game sold (in the series), just using that data to help gain insight beyond linear projections.
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When people try to say for instance MGS4 will only sell ~2-2.5 million because MGS3 only sold ~4 million on a larger userbase; that is when I try to say that you can't trend series' game sales linearly.
Since that series has had its first game on each console its been released on sell the best. I believe you need to figure that into the equation. MGS2 sold ~5.6 million. Thus if we do not just trend a series by its linear sales, we can use that data to come up with a more reasonable prediction for MGS4 to sell ~3-5 million.
Same point would apply to the FF series, Gran Turismo, & other franchises. We shouldn't try to predict sales based on linear trends because we need to take into account the first title on a console phenomenon. That is all I am trying to say.
I am not trying to claim actual sale #s based on what the last first game released on a console game sold (in the series), just using that data to help gain insight beyond linear projections.