@Gaara42, The source I used is the Capcom million seller, same source as one of yours.
I think the major difference between you and me is in future prediction. You believe that it is possible for RE5 to have > RE4 sales (using RE4 on GC+PS2). I believe that it is possible (not a big percentage, mind you) that RE5 (PS3+X360) > RE4 (GC+PS2+Wii). You are taking the pessimistic view, I am taking the optimistic view.
I only short something when "even though I am using the optimistic view, the stock price is still overvalued". The main reason for this caution is the fact that the video game market are still expanding right now : in Japan, in US, in Europe.
COD4 is way > than COD3. Super Smash Brawl is way > than Melee. Super Mario Galaxy is bigger (maybe not as big a percentage increase) than Super Mario Sunshine. My conclusion is still the same : This is a high risk, high gain stock.
If you have a brave heart and have spare money, you should jump now. I myself prefer to wait until the first NPD future, or the news of the game sales itself before jumping in.
The reason I was even more cautious now : SSBB #. I thought the 2.4 Million first month is the limit, hence I cash out at that price point. It now seems that I underestimate SSBB. IF I short SSBB at 2.4 Million Price Point, I would have been losing money.
1
The source I used is the Capcom million seller, same source as one of yours.
I think the major difference between you and me is in future prediction. You believe that it is possible for RE5 to have > RE4 sales (using RE4 on GC+PS2). I believe that it is possible (not a big percentage, mind you) that RE5 (PS3+X360) > RE4 (GC+PS2+Wii). You are taking the pessimistic view, I am taking the optimistic view.
I only short something when "even though I am using the optimistic view, the stock price is still overvalued". The main reason for this caution is the fact that the video game market are still expanding right now : in Japan, in US, in Europe.
COD4 is way > than COD3. Super Smash Brawl is way > than Melee. Super Mario Galaxy is bigger (maybe not as big a percentage increase) than Super Mario Sunshine. My conclusion is still the same : This is a high risk, high gain stock.
If you have a brave heart and have spare money, you should jump now. I myself prefer to wait until the first NPD future, or the news of the game sales itself before jumping in.
The reason I was even more cautious now : SSBB #. I thought the 2.4 Million first month is the limit, hence I cash out at that price point. It now seems that I underestimate SSBB. IF I short SSBB at 2.4 Million Price Point, I would have been losing money.