Well production increase starts in summer, so if they get it ready mid may, you will see maybe the first items appearing in June. July is more likely ;) I am selling of April future little by little since it reached a realistic price (maybe a little high right now). Well I bought in at average 37.03, do you believe that, and it was not a small investment ;)
I also believe that shipment in the US will fill demand at least in August/September. Since Europe stock on shelves in nearly healthy, there should be more for US anyhow. I don't believe the Wii can sell more than 750k over 4 week period really long. They fulfill "queued" demand right now, and after thats done sales should be go down, at least a little bit. Just from my gut I would go by this numbers for the US:
Of course that figures will not be exact, but should give a rough view how I see it, and off course they will explode after September ;) That also depends on that there are no major SW releases yet unknown (Kart and Fit are priced in) and there are no other "spure sales" effect, such as price drops, bundles and new colors.
1
Well production increase starts in summer, so if they get it ready mid may, you will see maybe the first items appearing in June. July is more likely ;) I am selling of April future little by little since it reached a realistic price (maybe a little high right now). Well I bought in at average 37.03, do you believe that, and it was not a small investment ;)
I also believe that shipment in the US will fill demand at least in August/September. Since Europe stock on shelves in nearly healthy, there should be more for US anyhow. I don't believe the Wii can sell more than 750k over 4 week period really long. They fulfill "queued" demand right now, and after thats done sales should be go down, at least a little bit. Just from my gut I would go by this numbers for the US:
March: 144k
April: 145k
May: 160k
June: 145k
July: 135k
August:125k
September:130k
Of course that figures will not be exact, but should give a rough view how I see it, and off course they will explode after September ;) That also depends on that there are no major SW releases yet unknown (Kart and Fit are priced in) and there are no other "spure sales" effect, such as price drops, bundles and new colors.