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Diablo 3 (PC)
at 9:05PM PST on July 10, 2008.
Based on your calculation, which could be wrong or could be right, it seems that Diablo 2 figure could be between 7.7 - 10 Million (rounded up), which mean my original hunch / estimate of 8 Million - 10 Million of Diablo 3 mean zero percent increase over Diablo 2.
I also covered some of my short at 8xx price point, but unfortunately I didn't go all the way (completely neutral), otherwise, I would have gained more profit :D.
I don't agree that Diablo 3 are going to have bell curve. If Blizzard release it yearly or every 2 year, then this could be true. However, since the latest release is a long time ago (2000 for Diablo 2, and 2001 for Diablo 2 : Lord of Destruction) I think it could follow bell curve, or it could also follow linear (either up or down) regression.
I am leaning more toward down (hence my current short position) since there are lots more competition now (IMO) than before.
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