Well, once X360 was released in 2005, did PS2 games died immediately ? No. PS2 software still selling better than X360 in 2005, and 2006. 2007 started to see X360 > PS2, but not by a big margin. 2008 is the "real" year PS2 S/W started decline severely. Same thing happened during PS1 transition to PS2.
IF (a big if) X720 is released on 2010 (possible, but <50% chance IMO), we can still see Wii Play selling up to 2012 or 2013. So it is still 4 - 5 years life for this S/W.
Like deftangel said, I also "wouldn't short this stock in a million years". I will only short this IF : - It stop showing up in NPD Top 10 - Nintendo announce a new WiiMote+S/W bundle, to replace this game (not likely, but the possibility exist).
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Well, once X360 was released in 2005, did PS2 games died immediately ? No. PS2 software still selling better than X360 in 2005, and 2006. 2007 started to see X360 > PS2, but not by a big margin. 2008 is the "real" year PS2 S/W started decline severely. Same thing happened during PS1 transition to PS2.
IF (a big if) X720 is released on 2010 (possible, but <50% chance IMO), we can still see Wii Play selling up to 2012 or 2013. So it is still 4 - 5 years life for this S/W.
Like deftangel said, I also "wouldn't short this stock in a million years". I will only short this IF :
- It stop showing up in NPD Top 10
- Nintendo announce a new WiiMote+S/W bundle, to replace this game (not likely, but the possibility exist).