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at 6:31AM PST on January 12, 2009.
RE: EEDAR: Estimates Wii sold 3.2m in December
"I actually have an inkling the analysts are wrong but it's not worth the risk so I covered as much as I could just now."
If you feel that you are right, you shouldn't worry going against EEDAR. Their track record for S/W is good, but their H/W Track record is so-so.
In Nov, their worst prediction is undertracking Wii. 1.45 Million prediction vs. 2.04 Million actual = 28% deviation.
In Oct, their worst prediction is undertracking X360. 270K prediction vs 371K actual = 27.22% deviation. Their Wii prediction is 6.6% undertracked in Oct.
In Sep, their worst prediction is undertracking Wii. 600K prediction vs 687K actual = 12.66% deviation.
In other words, don't worry going against analyst, whether Patcher or EEDAR.
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