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Tekken 6 (PS3)
at 9:49AM PST on October 21, 2010.
There is a significant upward price pressure in this stock in the last few weeks.
I am pretty sure that the cause of this is VGC's #, which is 1.71 Million, as of now.
VGC # are significantly wrong, on the America and EMEA part (the Japan is correct)
For America, VGC's # vs NPD's #, after converting NPD's # into America, by dividing with 0.87, is:
Tekken 6 launch is Oct 27, which means that
Week 1 = Oct 2009 NPD
Week 2 - Week 5 = Nov 2009 NPD
Week 6 - Week 10 = Dec 2009 NPD
Oct 09 : NPD is 120,977, VGC is 138,728 (15% higher)
Nov 09 : NPD is 88,009, VGC is 147,644 (68% higher)
Dec 09 : NPD is 120,870, VGC is 160,487 (33% higher)
First 10 weeks : NPD is 329,856, VGC is 446,859 (35% higher)
Therefore, VGC's America LTD, which is 700K, should be 518K
For EMEA, Tekken 6 PS3 are only Silver award by Jan 2010, which means that it should be around 120K - 150K, currently.
UK is 25% - 30% of EMEA, which means that Tekken 6 PS3 EMEA is between 400K - 600K, max.
Total of Tekken 6 should be : 172K Japan + 518K America + 600 K EMEA = 1.3 Million. This 1.3 Million figure is max figure.
If any one of you have different opinion / analysis, please feel free to discuss this.
Note : NPD # for Tekken 6 is based on leak, since Tekken 6 NEVER enter NPD Top 10 in 2009. If you are dilligent, you should be able to find the leak yourself.
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