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Super Mario Galaxy (Wii)
at 12:05PM PST on May 2, 2007.
Though there haven't been many main series Mario games in recent years, its interesting to note that the only one to sell less than 10 million copies is Mario Sunshine.
Thats not counting games like Wario Land 1 or Yoshi's Island, which were branded as Mario games, but had another main character. It also doesn't count Super Mario Bros. 2, since there were different versions... Though even then, the sales of the American version and the Japanese version total over 10 million...
Super Mario Bros, Super Mario Bros. 3, Super Mario Land, Super Mario Land 2, Super Mario World and Super Mario 64 all hit 10 million. And New Super Mario Bros. will hit the 10 million mark within a few months, having shipped 9.5 million so far. Super Mario All-Stars also reached the mark.
Most of these games are too old to really show much precedent, and there's only been two 3D Mario games, the second of which didn't even sell 6 million. But given how much more popular Wii is than GC, especially in Japan and Europe, and given that Mario as an astronaut is WAY COOLER than Mario as a janitor, I think 10 million is in play for this title, and 9 million is a fairly safe bet.
5 million NA + 1.5 million Japan + 2.5 million Europe, for example, is IMO in line with previous Mario games and with Wii's popularity.
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