Of all the list of games mentioned by others, I think that the biggest chance is as follows : Super Mario Galaxy 2 - Wii (big chance) New Super Mario Bros Wii - Wii (big chance) Metal Gear Solid: Peace Walker - PSP (50% chance) Red Dead Redemption - Xbox (not sure) Tiger Woods 11 - Wii (not sure)
A highly difficult month to predict and now NPD make it more difficult with only top 5 data.
I think these games may make top 5:
Transformers: War for Cybertron - Xbox Red Dead Redemption - Xbox if game has legs Metal Gear Solid: Peace Walker - PSP Super Mario Galaxy 2 - Wii New Super Mario Bros Wii - Wii
Its a rarity that PSP games make it, but Metal Gear Solid: Peace Walker has the best chance in a long time.
The slower the month is for new releases, the better Just Dance and the Nintendo evergreens will do, such as Wii Fit Plus and Wii Sports Resort. They should all be top 10 easy. If it gets REAL slow, its possible that New Super Mario Bros DS might even get to #10.
Kind of a slow month for releases, and almost completely devoid of any sure-fire big hitters.
Super Mario Galaxy 2 (I'm assuming it'll have legs for a few months) New Super Mario Bros Wii (maybe spurred on by the launch of SMG2?) Tiger Woods 11 (Wii) - the 360 and PS3 versions of '10 didn't even hit Top 20 NPD) Green Day Rock Band (360 & Wii) Alpha Protocol (360) Puzzle Quest 2 (DS)
At this point, I haven't thought of how to revise the Monthly Sales Futures system given NPD's more restrictive data releases.
Please make your suggestions for June 2010 Futures that will likely make the Top 5 games sold. Since the trend is that data for the top 10 is subsequently made public, we will keep the system as it presently functions.
1
Super Mario Galaxy 2 - Wii (big chance)
New Super Mario Bros Wii - Wii (big chance)
Metal Gear Solid: Peace Walker - PSP (50% chance)
Red Dead Redemption - Xbox (not sure)
Tiger Woods 11 - Wii (not sure)