MSFT has said a few times that February will have hardware shortages. Anyone think that our figure at 280k+ is a little on the high end?
Especially since we can expect a possible price cut in March/April, which would indicate to me that demand is down (and maybe this "hardware shortage" was more of a "demand shortage"). Although I won't disagree that the Elite version is in shortage.
Didn't want to post a ton of images but I noticed something else besides the changes shown in the 2 new Xbox Live Retail Offerings from MS I posted. The 3 month XBL pack now includes 400 MS pts! Not a cheap 100 as before. (you can see the details on the side of the box in small print). The 12 month XBL pack includes only 200 pts, says 2 games on side of box but only 1 on front.
@JoshuaJSlone, Agreed, also Feb. is the month that DMC4 will be released so I'm pretty much sure 360 sales will be higher in Feb. than in Jan. IMO both months are overpriced but Jan. one is way too overpriced.
Though I've already said I think the prices for the next few months are too high, here's a related oddity: the February price is currently a bit lower than January's. February is almost always a stronger sales month than January.
The main points of exception are when there's some sort of shortage situation going on that either leaves larger-than-normal demand in January (like PS3 in 2007) or short supply in February (like X360 in 2006).
@JoshuaJSlone,I agree XBOX360 have sold well this year but it was the only console apart from PS3 that had shortages. January should be low as no shortages and everybody who wanted an xbox this christmas got one.
@starship, Agreed. X360 has recently been doing better than it was a year before, but 90K/week is a huuuuge change from last year's 59K/week. Another disadvantage this year's January has it that it starts tracking on January 6, whereas last year's January started tracking on December 31, and therefore had more days tracked while things were still slowing down from the usual December high to low January/February levels.
@apujanata, apujanata, just a suggestion: you can sell how many wii play lifetime sales stocks you have since it'll not increase in a big way in the near future and also it is a high price stock so the % gain is tiny. It will give you the ability to short more Jan. X360 stocks.
@apujanata, Yeah Feb. X360 is overpriced too. I noticed that and shorted it too at the same time. You are right about Jan. one will be resolved faster but also maybe when people realise that Jan. X360 is overpriced, it would be too late to short Feb one and gain huge profits.
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How did you come to the conclusion that there may be a possible price cut in March/April?