I have followed your request to put a disclaimer every time I mention vgchartz numbers in a post.
Plus, I already pointed out, those new players who learned not to trust vgchartz and did their own research are the ones who rose the most (I'm assume that of Just Ben, ixaarii and the like), as the market is designed. Those who blindly trust those with a high net worth, like in the real market, deserve to be punish accordingly.
I am just providing things for feelmyring and others with things to consider, especially since feelmyring said, "VGC is largely irrelevant to what we're doing here, since games here are priced vs. NPD numbers.", which I thought was disingenuous since only the NPD futures are priced vs. NPD numbers, the rest are priced vs. what lifetime sales are expected to be. Vgchartz has a role, just the importance or relevance of that role varies widely from user to user.
@Just_Ben, But that's the problem with assumed knowledge: the people who should be most responsible for spreading the knowledge don't mention it anymore, because it's assumed. Then all the headway made into ingraining people with a sense of perspective about VGC's numbers is lost, because newbies come in, see top 20 people throwing out VGC numbers WITHOUT ANY KIND OF DISCLAIMER, and think that VGC is a valid source of hard data.
I've made all my points before, and frankly I'm sick of repeating them. If people don't want to listen, what's the point?
Well I relay on VGC data as on Data Source for my personal estimations. It is just that I have know another source for some games. But you don't have to defend VGC that much. Its enough that a lot of people in the top 20 take their numbers "under consideration".
This battle is a moot point, I don't know anyone on the site who thinks vgchartz numbers are concrete. NPD is also an estimate, keep that in mind, so parading it like it is concrete data is also a bit superfluous. Most people use vgchartz as a trend or to get a feeling for how the game is selling, rather than use it complete fact, such as if vgchartz has a game selling 2 million vs. a game selling .5 million, we would assume that the former game is selling better than the latter. Either way, I probably won't bring up this issue anymore, since it is a matter of opinion and I will vote with my money, the market (and company press releases and business reports) will decide where the stocks should be.
@Just_Ben, I chose Rock Band because VGC has it at 375k through 4 weeks; higher than their "margin" of error vs. your number (which I'm assuming is some sort of NPD insider).
I can easily see COD coming in where you say it will; I couldn't get on either side of it to make it worthwhile. The other ones, I don't really have an opinion on.
No it isn't VGC, but they are near on rockband for the period (They have it at 350 thousand with one week missing). So may I ask why you choose Rock Band? They have Call of Duty down for 511k (also one week missing) so there I am more "away". Just a question :o)
No I won't reveal my source, part of the deal :o) Also I don't get "exact" infos, just "some" infos, so I need to get them "complete" for my own. So there should be an amount of error and guessing involved. :o)
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