With 1.3 Million first day # from VGC, what kind of # should be this stock valued at ? Anyone kind enough to share his analysis ? Let us all assume that VGC data is accurate (since it seem some member didn't think VGC data is accurate).
If there is an additional special release with new content, akin to Substance or Subsistence, will it be included with MGS 4 sales? Anyone remember for sure? If not I'll email KuC.
@Laoldar, exactly, thats why I'm getting out of all my GLS stocks and sticking to futures. More money and a faster return on your investment, plus you actually profit off of hype instead of losing money because a couple people want to buy up a ton of stock.
Exactly, that problem happened with me. If you try too hard to short something, it costs a ton of DKP plus it costs money to buy yourself out of that hole.
Its true about the hyped stocks, you can't short them because they go back up and once you start getting 4 or 5 million DKP positions in them when they go back up all of the sudden you end up several million DKP in the hole and can't short it again without selling out of other stocks.
The best thing to do when you notice a stock is overvalued is to slowly build you position until we have sales data. Most stocks do move when actual sales data is presented.
the trouble is that there is a view among the more experienced players that even if you try and short a stock to bring the price down to a more reasonable level the market will go against you and drive it back up again meaning less people with influential money will try and so the price does not get limited as easily. a trend im inclined to agree with as im seeing it happen with GTA IV at the moment as a prime example, i know several of the top 20 players are currently short on it and yet the price is still at an unreasonable level down to all the hype. you have to wait until sales numbers come out for it to hopefully come down and even then its not guaranteed.
although on the other hand id say that halo has crashed from the 18mil point and come down too much. its just swings and roundabouts.
I don't know, but honestly I think the market is pricing this game based on hype. Especially considering this is going to be one of the first really big PS3 titles, I expect things to drop down to a more reasonable level after we get sales data, I seem to recall Halo at insane numbers as well before release (18 million IIRC). Same thing here, people are just excited.
@kspraydad, I've been a fan since MG1 on NES. I've beaten MGS1&2, & own 3 but haven't played through it yet. I'll probably still buy the 3 pack because I sold MGS1 a while back. Which one did you play?
This bonus DVD will also help garner sales from people who didn't own previous MGS games, since it sums up the story.
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