@welshbloke, I agree that if this game is bundled, it's LTD will increase a lot. However, it seems the chances of it getting bundled is pretty slim. Why ? The best chance for bundled is the year it is released, and that time is Holiday 2009.
We know what Microsoft prepared for Holiday 2009 bundle, and this game is NOT in the bundle. The chance of this getting bundled in 2010 is pretty slim, if not to say impossible, since 2010 is more than 1 years old.
The only remaining sales booster possibilities is Platinum (lowered price) version, and platinum version boost for sales # is usually very small (less than 50% boost, usually around 30% boost).
Therefore, I believe that the price of this stock is too high. It should be 1.6 Million max with Platinum version, 2.50 Million max with bundle, 1.2 Million without bundle.
Even with platinum version boost, which is not certain at this moment, this stock is 0.9 Million too high, which meant 35% margin investment for short.
I am not so sure my price was based on the fact that I consider this an excellent bundle product. To date it has not been bundled so as for me the lts could still become reality.
Since the announcement of 1 Million "Sold" (or Shipped), back in March 20, 2009, we haven't had anything from Microsoft yet.
Isn't it safe to assume that it had not reached either 1.5 Million "Sold" or 2 Million "Sold" yet ? Microsoft likes to announced milestones for their games, so hearing nothing about this makes me feel that simEx prices is too high.
@afsplat, We will witness the power of the "Halo" brand with this game. I am really looking forward to sales of this game, since it is my second biggest short investment in the GLS stocks category.
@apujanata, I would guess the "Halo" in the name and the stands in Gamespot will pull in some sales. There's no way it's going to sell huge, but it should do ok.
@Arbiter, I don't play RTS (I prefer turn-based SRPG), but from forums, it seems that this game is very good (simplify RTS games). Whether this will translate into good sales is anyone's guesses. The fact that I am short on this should tell you about my expectation.
I'm surprised there are so many reviews out for this game already. Averaging an 83 on Metacritic right now, though Gamespot gave it a 65, which is pretty poor. What do you guys think about the game's chances of making RTS work on console?
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I agree that if this game is bundled, it's LTD will increase a lot. However, it seems the chances of it getting bundled is pretty slim. Why ? The best chance for bundled is the year it is released, and that time is Holiday 2009.
We know what Microsoft prepared for Holiday 2009 bundle, and this game is NOT in the bundle. The chance of this getting bundled in 2010 is pretty slim, if not to say impossible, since 2010 is more than 1 years old.
The only remaining sales booster possibilities is Platinum (lowered price) version, and platinum version boost for sales # is usually very small (less than 50% boost, usually around 30% boost).
Therefore, I believe that the price of this stock is too high. It should be 1.6 Million max with Platinum version, 2.50 Million max with bundle, 1.2 Million without bundle.
Even with platinum version boost, which is not certain at this moment, this stock is 0.9 Million too high, which meant 35% margin investment for short.