"vgchartz is an independent site who bases their numbers on a small pool of data, which is known to be inaccurate at times, only use loosely as a guide."
You noticed that VGC updated the first week? If I calculate that it sells the next 2 weeks like this, calculate Canada out, I come to 456 thousand sold. But it won't sell the next two weeks like that, and there will be a reason why the database was corrected. If I where you, I would rethink your position.
@Joe80, do note that VGC has been way off to the upside on the first month sales of similar blockbuster type games. BioShock comes to mind as a recent example. It may just be people skeptical of the level of optimism.
@Gaara42, Only guess I have is that VGC has it selling only like 80,000 in its 2nd week. This could very well be due to it being sold out everywhere after week 1. I had a very large position in this Future. So given that VGC week 1 could be inflated and what they're giving for week 2.
I sold a very large amount of volume off today, but I still hold a very large position. I was surprised how far it dropped though after I sold shares because now it may be undervalued again. And if week 2 numbers were near that bad, they could actually improve in week 3 as inventory gets restocked. But boy did I lose a huge amount of DKP today, I'm at -448K right now.
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my personal opinion is that (assuming these numbers are not completely off) this might be a little overvalued