FYI, VGchartz now has this at 2.34 million units, ahead of our GLS forecast. Granted, this thread has already discussed the possible errors w/ past estimates.
@Arbiter, 1. I don't like to use VGC data as basis of my investment, since their accuracy is volatile (could be on spot, could be 50%+ wrong). 2. IF VGC data is right, 1.63 can become 2 Million, since Europe release date is TBA (probably 2009), not September 2008 (like US). If my prediction of 2 Million is correct, then the profit margin is only 20%, insufficient margin level for me to execute a short.
VGChartz is tracking Rock Band (XBox 360) at 1.63 million units (163 DKP). The stock is currently at 246 DKP, which means we are expecting about another 50% of sales. I think this is a bit optimistic at this point, especially with a sequel coming.
Any #s on Rock Band? VGC has 360 ver at 1.15 million. EA said for all 3 versions (360, PS3, PS2) combined it sold 1.5 million on Jan 31st. Combining most recent VGC for all 3 versions = 1.87. This may be overvalued.
@Laoldar, Nothing solid, I was just looking to people who could have caused a shift in the stock, and held a short position. I didn't mean anything by it; I was just offering it as a possible explanation.
I haven't traded this stock in a while...in fact I've taken quite a loss on my position since I haven't paid attention to this stock at all. I shorted it back before X-Mas.
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