Hey, thanks for bringing the price of MPDS back to below 35 DKP. I will keep on buying this game, and you will keep on shorting it. We will see who is right very soon :D.
I was wrong regarding mass effect on Nov NPD, so I might also be wrong in MKDS Dec.
One retailer feedback (that have numbers) for sales on Week 12/15 - 12/22 (one week sales only): DS H/W = 98 Mario Party = 48 (sold out) NSMB = (sold out) Mario Kart (sold out) Zelda PH (sold out) Lots of game sold out. A few game may reach 300K+ in December NPD, many games will reach 100K.
@lstormy10, You make good points about Mario Party 8, but I don't think MP8 will correlate with MPDS. Its a different user base, mostly (the Wii has an older install base), the specialty stores that I survey aren't pushing it in the same way they are other DS games (more the "classics", NSMB, Mario Kart, etc), and I think that the 4 players off of 1 card is going to kill sales. Party games may work on DS, but I don't think that a rehash of a game that a lot of kids (the target audience) already have on Wii is going to sell well. This future can go as high as it wants to, I'll be betting a lot of money that it comes in under 35DKP.
The one that have 35DKP limit is feelmyring, not me. My own limit is 45 - 50 DKP. My own reasoning for higher than 35DKP limit is the same as the one you mentioned.
The reason why it may not cross over 50 DKP is because historically, no game on DS has ever gone above 500K in Dec. Mario Kart only get 450K- in Dec 06, while New Super Mario Bros (released May 06) only got 450K- in Dec 07. Yoshi Island 2, release Nov 06, only got 400K in Dec 07.
@apujanata, Having a limit of 35DKP is dangerous. Look at Mario Party 8 sales back in June of 426 thousand. And this was on a platform with less total hardware out in the wild than the DS at the time of the Mario Party DS release, during the slower summer season, and was significantly more expensive. Mario Party DS is at a lower pricepoint, out during the holiday time, and on a platform with much higher established numbers. This title has a good possibility of going higher than 35DKP.
Since you didn't mention anything, I assumed that you are talking about the Dec 07 MPDS. I think 35DKP is a dangerous short limit. Personally, I think 45 DKP, or even 50 DKP is the limit, especially if you listened to feedback from US retailers (and Europe).
I agree with Istormy10. Never underestimate the power of Mario Party game, especially in US, and with the low DS game pricepoint (compared to console game pricepoint).
@feelmyring, I really don't have much of an opinion on where the future should (because I haven't had time to take a good look at it), but I know that the power of a Mario Party game should not be underestimated.
@feelmyring, I wouldn't worry about what kind of reviews the game is getting because we all know how Mario Party games are virtually unaffected for the most part by reviews. (The most recent example being Mario Party 8.)
What's everyone's feelings on this future? I think it's over priced, for a number of reasons. The biggest reason I'd say it's over priced is that the target audience can play over the same cartridge, so that's going to hurt their sales. Also, the game doesn't get very good reviews.
2
That was only 1 25k lot order, my friend. there's not a lot holding this future up.