@Just_Ben, Well, IMO, 12 Million for you is big, but not too big.
I think you should be more concerned with your Wii April short, especially if it is also 12 Million worth.
One of my source told me that Wii April can hit 800K - 1 Million, and I have 10% of my networth invested in this on long. If it really hit 800 - 1 Million, I stood to gain a significant profit. This source has been proven right before (several times), so I hope it will also be right again (I didn't believe it on previous occasion).
@Just_Ben, That is what I think also (MK Wii Less than Brawl), but I have been known to be wrong a lot in the past (and probably more in the future). You can go to NeoGAF and read the retailer musing, such as this and this (old, didn't cover MKWii period). The info about the retailer is confidential (and not NPD nor VGC based), so I am sorry that I couldn't give you a link to it.
Personally, I still have confidence in MKWii getting < 1.2 Million, but the confidence is not that high that I am willing to invest 25% of my networth into it. 5% networth is OK :).
What retailers? I want more info. I don't think MK Wii will break the record for Nintendo, after Brawl did that just a month ago. So I think it still stands, less than Brawl ;)
@Just_Ben, Better than expected MK Wii sales from retailer. At least that is what changed my mind. I used to short this one heavily (up to 20 - 25 % of my networth), but based on early report from retailer, I changed my mind.
I predict 1 Million - 1.2 Million for this one. Since my short is at 120 DKP pricepoint, the potential benefit is probably only 20%. However, if the highest # rumour I heard is correct, this could be 1.4 or even 1.5 Million. Since I hate losing money, I decided to forgo potential profit, and just cash back most of my short, at 4% profit.
As of now, I still have 1 Million invested in this stock, so I still stood to gain or lose some money from this stock.
Since I can't invest more anyhow here, do somebody care to explain to me why they think Kart will sell that well in the first week? I would figure it will be way below Brawl (1.4 Million) since Mario Kart should not be that front loaded? I mean 1.2 Million, really? I figure that the hardcore gamers that own a Wii and a 360/PS3 will go more for GTA than Kart (buy Kart later).
I mean there where many post that it should be under 1 Million, and I agree to them, what changed the mind of the community?
Hi, are there other european playing this game right know here? Thought I might ask, because I set up a little league on VGC for Europeans, and hope that we get it full ;)
I don't think this is the end of the fluctuation, since a lot of people agree that the price should be below 1 Million, and currently the price is above 1 million.
No kidding, I managed to liquidate some of my stock at a pretty impressive profit but the thing was bouncing around so much it was tough to make any concrete gains.
Or maybe I'm just too slow. It was fun while it lasted anyways!
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Well, IMO, 12 Million for you is big, but not too big.
I think you should be more concerned with your Wii April short, especially if it is also 12 Million worth.
One of my source told me that Wii April can hit 800K - 1 Million, and I have 10% of my networth invested in this on long. If it really hit 800 - 1 Million, I stood to gain a significant profit.
This source has been proven right before (several times), so I hope it will also be right again (I didn't believe it on previous occasion).