FYI, the Xbox 360 version sold 47,500 copies in NA in Jan 07 according to VG Charts. That puts the game at 344,250 copies sold in NA. As I said on the PS2 version's page, TH games generally sell a 0.6 adjustment modifier to the NA sales, so we can guess that European/Australian sales will be at 206,550 once the game hits 3 months old over there.
This analysis would put the game at 550,800 copies sold after 3 months on shelves. Can the game sell another 200,000 copies in its remaining life?
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Update: After a long slump, Tony Hawk's new game seems to be back on the rise. It moved up 50 spots in the Amazon's top selling list for video games, and receiving good scores from magazines such as EGM and sites such as Gamespot. Buy while it's at it's lowest.
Update: Tony Hawk Project 8 (Xbox 360) has sold 301,000 copies through December. This is just a hair under the 313,000 sold on the PS2. The December numbers were more than 2x the November sales. This game could have stronger legs than some people have been expecting, but the stock probably has that priced in now.
This stock is overvalued relative to other Xbox 360 games from November considering the November number sales numbers from NPD. Tony Hawk was behind both F.E.A.R. and Marvel Ultimate Alliance, but is priced higher here.
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This analysis would put the game at 550,800 copies sold after 3 months on shelves. Can the game sell another 200,000 copies in its remaining life?