Applying the same logic as posted on LittleBigPlanet, let's assume R:FoM2 has achieved 50% of its US sales in the first 2 months. That would put it at a 1.2 million forecast.
I would assume sales in Japan are lighter due to the gaming preferences there. FPS just isn't as popular. So lets assume US sales make 50% of global, putting the title at a 2.4 million estimate. The GLS stock is slightly ahead of this. However, this is one of the headline titles of the PS3, so the legs may be longer.
I'd recommend everyone short 850 shares right now as this will drop like a stone. MGS4 only sold a million (not including bundles) in its first four weeks (approx)...R2 is not going to sell 2.35 million in 4 weeks..nor will it sell 50% of its GLS in the US alone and in its first 4 weeks.
We are currently predicting GoW2 sales of 8million which should probably come down a bit closer to 7 after release. So thats only 1.5x what it sold originally as doubling the userbase does not mean double the sales. Also generally the 360 userbase is much more shooter receptive than the PS3 and there are different attatch rates etc. so to compare the games across the two different platforms is full of faults. What we must remember i think is that 6million would be a huge number, considering thats about what GTA4 will sell on the system (i know it wasnt exclusive).
In my opinion i think it should be a little closer to 4 million, in the 4-4.5 range, but then im a pessimist bear :)
even tho this is coming out in a very busy/competitive time in november, its definatly going to sell better than COD:WaW.
Resistance was released very early around same time ps3 was released and still managed 2.5 million.
Now the ps3 has matured and is around 15m and is going to be big this christmas hitting 16/17million which looks promising for Resisance.
there looking at double the sales for GOW2 also an exclusive at 10million. Twice the sales of GOW1 and half the rough amount of XBOX360 sold.
Thinking the same for Risistance2, 15million PS3's sold so 7-8million?but taking a more realistic aproach would be about 5-6m is what im thinking. The price is fine for now but i will defenitly consider longing this stock.
Why is this title forecasted to sell so many more copies than the original (the stock is currently pointing at 5.14 million units)? True, the install-base of the PS3 will be much wider, but if there is so much interest in the sequel, there must be interest in picking up the original, which topped out under 3 million copies.
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Applying the same logic as posted on LittleBigPlanet, let's assume R:FoM2 has achieved 50% of its US sales in the first 2 months. That would put it at a 1.2 million forecast.
I would assume sales in Japan are lighter due to the gaming preferences there. FPS just isn't as popular. So lets assume US sales make 50% of global, putting the title at a 2.4 million estimate. The GLS stock is slightly ahead of this. However, this is one of the headline titles of the PS3, so the legs may be longer.