VGC has the sales currently at 1.5 although it is not clear when they last updated it.
I still see this as a major candidate for s significant bundle but I also see the title performing well with small scale bundling both by Microsoft and retailers already taking place.
I agree if no significant large bundling such as that seen with the Lego bundling that it is unlikely to make 2.5 but I just cannot see this First Party title not becoming an important bundle in the future possible the summer.
In am in for the long haul and as you have pointed out have stock but I see no reason to bail out now.
@welshbloke, You are not really on the fence on this stock. You have significant long on it, since it show up on your public profile.
What is the # on VGC ? I will not discuss accuracy of VGC #, which made investment based on its data "wild guessing", to say the least (not really better than your's or mine guess)
You have to remember that Microsoft is a PR / marketing company, so if Halo Wars make 1.5 or 2 Million milestone, you would DEFINITELY have some PR. Same thing might happen for first party games on PS3, since PS3 need good news. It probably wouldn't happen at Nintendo, since Nintendo are very secretive about sales #, especially those that are not million unit seller in a certain fiscal year.
@welshbloke, Would they be fools to pass up bundling ? IMO, not really.
I see more possibility of a Halo 3 ODST bundle compared to Halo Wars. Why ? Because Halo 3 (and ODST) are FPS, which have lots of buyer, while Halo Wars is RTS, which have limited audience on console. Most of RTS gamers are on PC.
Do you really think that Halo Wars will be bundled in 2010 ? Is there any precedent for such thing ? AFAIK, bundle is usually around game release, NOT 1 year plus after release.
I have seen bundles centered around Halo. So a Halo 3 + ODST + Wars bundle but nothing official. Of course the offical ultimate Halo bundle prior to Reach would sell a couple I should not wonder.
The more I think about the more I think they would be fools to pass up such an opportunity.
I am going to have to remain on the fence. I still think as it is an exclusive it will appear as a bundle and because it carried the Halo name I do expect to see it at some point.
The other is you are basing sales off the fact that we have had no other confirmed sales. Now we may not like VGC but they have this much higher and they do have some degree of tracking even if everybody cannot agree as to its methods.
So I think currently the number stands until it definately does not make the bundle or we get some other official source indicating sales.
I think once this hits platinum that would be the indicator it will not be making the bundle, I will then have to concede.
3
1 Year after launch, no bundle in sight. Latest bundle is Forza Motor Sport 3.
VGC have this at 1.79 Million, which is higher than October 2009 # you referenced.
I am going to short this game more.