I'm actually a little bit disappointed in this stock right now. In its fourth week, the game only sold 24K in Japan, bringing the total to about 450K (source from Media Create). Comparing that to FFIII, it has sold 660-670K after four weeks, selling roughly 60K in its fourth week. And comparing it to its predecessor, FFXII already sold over 2M in its fourth week, albeit on a different platform.
The figures for FFXII:RW feels weak. With the popularity of the Final Fantasy brand, and the strong sales of FFIII, I would expect RW to sell like hot cakes.
Maybe it's because of the RTS, I don't know.
Whether it will make 2M seems largely dependent on sales in other regions now, because if this trend continues, it might even struggle to make a million within Japan.
Add me into the chorus of voices thinking this stock is undervalued. According to a Gamestop article its still on top of the Media Create charts in Japan even in the third week, so that implies to me that it has strong momentum there. Looking at charron's data poitn of 383k after two weeks, its probably easily over 500-600k now and if it keeps the momentum up it will get within range of the current estimates just on basis of JP sales alone.
And of the Japanese RPG properties, Final Fantasy has the best name recognition/buzz factor in the states, so given the huge install base of the DS, while it wont probably top the NA charts it should easily be able to sell 1-2M copies (FFXII sold much more). I see this propterty easily going to 3M or more sales.
Apparently, this has sold 383,000 copies in Japan within two weeks. I'm not as strong at statistics as some other users here, but I think that's a pretty good start for the game.
I think those ratings are pretty standard for even the best RPGs. I find that theres a lot of bias against RPGs these days..
As for only selling 2 million copies, I think it'll do a lot better than that... Think of the install base of the DS, think of how many Japanese people love FF and RPGs in general. I think this one is a no brainer.
5
The figures for FFXII:RW feels weak. With the popularity of the Final Fantasy brand, and the strong sales of FFIII, I would expect RW to sell like hot cakes.
Maybe it's because of the RTS, I don't know.
Whether it will make 2M seems largely dependent on sales in other regions now, because if this trend continues, it might even struggle to make a million within Japan.