You noticed that VGC updated the first week? If I calculate that it sells the next 2 weeks like this, calculate Canada out, I come to 456 thousand sold. But it won't sell the next two weeks like that, and there will be a reason why the database was corrected. If I where you, I would rethink your position.
@Joe80, do note that VGC has been way off to the upside on the first month sales of similar blockbuster type games. BioShock comes to mind as a recent example. It may just be people skeptical of the level of optimism.
@Gaara42, Only guess I have is that VGC has it selling only like 80,000 in its 2nd week. This could very well be due to it being sold out everywhere after week 1. I had a very large position in this Future. So given that VGC week 1 could be inflated and what they're giving for week 2.
I sold a very large amount of volume off today, but I still hold a very large position. I was surprised how far it dropped though after I sold shares because now it may be undervalued again. And if week 2 numbers were near that bad, they could actually improve in week 3 as inventory gets restocked. But boy did I lose a huge amount of DKP today, I'm at -448K right now.
This Reuters article mainly discusses the bundling of the product and how it impacts the bottom line, but also makes use of the simExchange's data: predicts half million copies will be sold in October.
1st week of sales according to VGC is 348,000! So it has almost surpassed its OCT Future prediction in week 1... Even with a significant degree of VGC error, it's well on its way to easily besting our OCT prediction. As I posted on Sunday I went to 2 stores looking for this game and it was sold out, and I've seen others post online it was sold out when they tried to get it. I say buy buy buy!
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Just like the population...Canada represents about 10% of sales.