Sorry, I was looking at the release date and mixed it with the month of the future.
But I do not think that 480-580k in two months makes the lifetime stock more believable because those are sales during the holiday months, I expect this game's sales numbers to drop off quite rapidly after that. This game's number I think are directly tied to how well the PS3 does this holiday season, if a lot of people buy Xbox360s and Wii's instead then I see this game doing only 1.15 million lifetime. If the PS3 finally catches on, then 1.5 million may be possible, but I highly doubt that still, especially with the huge amount of competition this holiday season.
The DECEMBER FUTURE is 28DKP...we are not listing one for the 1st 2 weeks of release in NOVEMBER.
If normal patterns of initial bursts of sales apply that would be an expectation of 200 to 300k in first two weeks with the 'drop off' being the 280k in December for a total of 480-580k in two months. Does this not make the lifetime more believable.
I'm not saying this will happen but that would be how I explain the 'low' December number.
Why are we predicting lifetime sales of 154DKP if the November future is around 28DKP? This would, from that future, probably sell 60DKP in America. It will garner little sales in Japan if it is released there. Europe is unlikely to buy more copies of this game than America, probably around 55DKP if we are optimistic. From this a price of 115DKP seems more accurate, though that might be high as I don't expect this game to have a very long tail.
Some games I want to give a score, this is one of them, it promotes gaming as an interactive adventure and an art form, broadening what is possible on a gaming platform. For this alone it deserves acknowledgement, the fact that it controls so well and is very fun just compounds this to make it a great title in gaming history.
I must admit I never really saw what all the fuss was about uncharted looking beautiful, maybe looking at it through my work graphics attitude i was overly critical, however with the new halloween trailer (added it to vids) it I saw it / found it quite moving. It managed to get the emotion in and the different environments popped more. Suddenly the whole reinventing of the adventure genre makes sense to me. I agree with you that it's a new IP so it may not do great, particulalry with the ps3 still starting up, but as a game it may be a landmark and it may even sell quite good (i've read some rumours of some bundles). Either way, as a gamer looking forward to experiencing it.
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Sorry, I was looking at the release date and mixed it with the month of the future.
But I do not think that 480-580k in two months makes the lifetime stock more believable because those are sales during the holiday months, I expect this game's sales numbers to drop off quite rapidly after that. This game's number I think are directly tied to how well the PS3 does this holiday season, if a lot of people buy Xbox360s and Wii's instead then I see this game doing only 1.15 million lifetime. If the PS3 finally catches on, then 1.5 million may be possible, but I highly doubt that still, especially with the huge amount of competition this holiday season.