@CrimsonFalcon167,I agree i think this is way over priced.The wii will possibly take 7-9 years to make 100million.id say the total install base this will ever see would be 50-60million.i dont know how this will sell but from my point of view i think this will sell 10million-12million.well thats what i think.
it all depends on how this sells on the first 1month
Please disregard 2/3 of my last post being linked. The link is part of my argument, but I didn't intend the whole thing to be linked and I can't edit the post.
I didn't necessarily mean Halo 3 was the biggest game of all time (I worded what I really meant poorly before), but that it was the biggest release of all time (so far). I think we can all agree on that?
Anyway, I do have to reaffirm that this game will probably sell 10-12 million copies, but no more than 14 million. Let's say that the Wii install base gets to about 100 million total lifetime sales--14 million would be be 14% of all Wii owners getting this game. (Remember this is all approximate) If we hold to this model, then about 1 in every 7 Wii owners would buy this game. That is pretty generous considering that about 2/3 of all Wii owners haven't even used the system in a long time.
Halo has mainly UK and US to work with, and a little Europe. Galaxy is WW and will have better legs than Halo 3. 20 million is a lot, even for a mario, we can agree, but Mario is a selling game. So I tend to agree that 20 million is to high, but I don't agree on the it won't beat halo part. Mario is way more "casual" than Halo.
I don't know why you call Halo 3 "the biggest game". It makes a lot of money in the front end because Microsoft has a rapid fanbase of a few million players. Due to the limitation of the Halo fanbase, and the relatively small install base of the 360, I doubt it will get to 10 million copies sold. I personally doubt it will pass 7 million.
18 million is likely a high prediction for Mario, I agree. But unlike many over-priced games on here, Mario is one of the few with the pedigree of sales to back it up (4 Mario platformer games have sold over 17 million copies) and it is coming out on the top selling system of this console generation. I think this game will probably outsell Halo 3 (it'll take a while to pass it though), but I think a prediction of 10-12 million isn't out of the question.
@CrimsonFalcon167, Halo games are nowhere near as big as Mario games. Halo games aren't even as big as GTA--they are no where near the size of Mario games. Halo 3 definitely isn't the biggest game--just big early sales. Any Pokemon game beats a Halo game. Empirically, Mario games blow away Halo games by 2x or 3x sales.
Okay, I know there are a lot of Wiis out there, but this game is not going to sell 19/18 million copies. THe price on this is ridiculous. If the price of Halo 3 (The biggest game with the most advertising of all time) is less than 1000, there is no way in hell this will beat it. Maybe it might get to 12 million, but still...
Whoops -- Super Smash Bros. Brawl has been delayed to next year, but there's still good news for Wii owners because Super Mario Galaxy hasn't budged from its November 12 release date. Having finally played Nintendo's fighter, we're confident that it's going to live up to the ridiculous amount of hype that constantly surrounds it, and yet we're simultaneously more excited to play through Mario's latest romp.
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You know that even Sunshine hat an attach rate of 66% in japan on the cube? You will be suprised by Galaxy. 15 Million is easy.