I have never believed the Wii can ever reach the current numbers. Even when you take into account the slowing sales and a possible revival the console is almost certain to be replaced probably sometime next year. Natal and the Wand are just another example of the threat the Wii will face next year.
The Wii needs HD and more precise motion controls to allow it to continue to dominate the market. It is for this reason even with continued strong but waining sales that I foresee the Wii2 to be launched by the end of 2010 or early 2011.
The HD twins are already showing signs of moving into the living rooms with integrated players, instant on HD streaming and integrated social applications. These features will only continue to improve and new markets open up. Only with these new markets can they hope to achieve the current 80 million predictions.
I just don't get the lifetime numbers trading so high. The Wii already hit its peak demand and it has sold life to date 57 Million units, to get to 170 Million is a stretch. The PS2 just hit 140 MIllion and that basically didn't have nearly the competition of the 360 and ps3 slim. I can't see the Wii outselling the DS and the DS isn't even at 120 Million yet. Oh well I'll just wait out my short positions....
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The Wii needs HD and more precise motion controls to allow it to continue to dominate the market. It is for this reason even with continued strong but waining sales that I foresee the Wii2 to be launched by the end of 2010 or early 2011.
The HD twins are already showing signs of moving into the living rooms with integrated players, instant on HD streaming and integrated social applications. These features will only continue to improve and new markets open up. Only with these new markets can they hope to achieve the current 80 million predictions.