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at 8:00PM PST on December 20, 2007.
I think people are banking on a number of things:
1) December is a 5 week NPD period
2) There was a statement that 600k extra Wiis would be made available to the US for last weekend's "push"
3) November sold almost 1 million consoles, and December should be higher.
4) That Nintendo had more of a stockpile than they let on, to release in December.
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