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at 5:32PM PST on January 2, 2008.
actually even if it does have 35+ by end of 2008 I'm still not confident it can reach >100. I've started shorting these numbers for a while now and I suspect I will continue to do so on the reasoning that the ps2 comparison doesn't stand because ps2 never had 2 systems computationally superior by large margins, and so I expect it will fall off sharp in 2009... say it did 40mil by fall 2008... I don't see it continuing like this for more than 4-5 years, so I don't see how it could sell more than 80mil, the only exception I can see to this is if there's a huge growth in gaming markets in poor countries. I reeaaaally doubt MS and Sony haven't yet realized how how important an cheap & motion control system is to many people and though realizing is not the same as doing I'd be surprised if in 3 years they don't try to answer somehow... they still don't have the nintendo casual media image, but they could convince their users with: "you get your hardcore games on a very powerful system AND your fix of casual/motion/alternative games"... but no, this is not what I think the main competitor will be, I think Nintendo will be phasing out it's Wii with Wii2... though I have yet to make my mind up weather i expect this to happen due to actual sales decrease in 3 years, wanting more multiplatform hardcore games or desire for higher margins...
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