I agree that Wii may well hit 2M for December, however, the upside is small and the downside is large. From 185-200DKP, you're only getting a 7 1/2 percent upside, but if shipments are lower than we predict, it could go as low as 1.5M.
That's much of why buying Wii stocks on an NPD basis is so hard. We know the demand is there, so it's truly a matter of trying to predict shipments. Which is damn hard to do. It doesn't follow the mostly linear curve of regular hardware sales.
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I agree that Wii may well hit 2M for December, however, the upside is small and the downside is large. From 185-200DKP, you're only getting a 7 1/2 percent upside, but if shipments are lower than we predict, it could go as low as 1.5M.
That's much of why buying Wii stocks on an NPD basis is so hard. We know the demand is there, so it's truly a matter of trying to predict shipments. Which is damn hard to do. It doesn't follow the mostly linear curve of regular hardware sales.