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at 1:37AM PST on February 9, 2008.
I agree with what you say except the part about Zukaus. I see him frequently pointed out as the person who could change things but I think that's unfair: all of us in the top ~100 or so could make great differences, but thing is a lot of us have already realized this problem and moved out of lifetime stocks... which is really bad for TSE imho.
These are exactly the people who are less fanboy-ish and tend to take out a calculator and browse websites for data & information: these are the people TSE would like to make it's lifetime forecasts... but instead these people stay out, newcomers do the lifetime forecasts and the result imho might be that the press out there will see TSE predictions with egg on their face, which is a shame as we've got here many people who could stand their own even against professional analysts, but since all these people are going to stick to monthly stocks, stocks for which there isn't that much need for TSE because people just wait a few weeks and they've got official numbers...
Obviously I realize that for investors NPD numbers are important, but for people and the press at large I think they're much more interested in a lifetime perspective. I suspect there's a limited number of people who are interested in weather a console sells 200k or 250k next month, but there's a huge sea of people wanting to know which console is most probable to last longer...
I know at least that's how I got here first, that's the kind of data that I see at the forefront of news articles citing analysts' opinions... and I'm thinking maybe something should be done by TSE staff to encourage our good analysts to invest more in lifetime & thus make TSE a more interesting and appreciated community for the world at large. Otherwise we might see a day when TSE might be put to shame by somebody pointing out that while an analyst like Pachter gave a +-10% estimate of a lifetime stock TSE has been having console widgets all over the web off by tens of millions changing our community perception from an analyst to another fanboy opinion easily dissregarded.
Well, maybe I'm making a big fuss about nothing. I know stocks are going to adjust in a couple of months-years time... but it's a shame not to have them pointing out the right stuff years in advance of everybody else.
PS: everything I've said here isn't particularly tied just to the Wii stock. I may be totally wrong on this one! My points were more a cry seeing all the veteran traders moving out of lifetime stocks because they're not profitable and thus making them unreliable imho.
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