For the NPD April Future, I believe that the number is still too high as of now (123.98 DKP or ~1.24 million copies).
The fact that this game will have only about 1 week counted for NPD is a major reason why it should go down. If you look at SSBB, that game sold (going by official Nintendo numbers) 1.4 million copies in the U.S. in its first week. There is no way that I see Mario Kart getting as close to that first week number of SSBB as the current stock price suggests. Mario Kart Wii is not as hyped or as much of a immediate buy for as many Wii owners as a game like SSBB is.
In addition, casual Wii gamers are not as likely to get a game within its first week as more hardcore gamers are. More casual gamers will wait to get a game until either they actually hear about it (most likely through advertising) or it fits into their schedule/money situation/etc.
One last thing to mention is the first week sales for the most previous Mario Kart, Mario Kart DS - 112,000 (at the beginning of the holiday shopping season in the U.S.).
@apujanata, I had re-read my question and it seemed a bit wordy... lol. :)
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Thanks for the info! :)
For the NPD April Future, I believe that the number is still too high as of now (123.98 DKP or ~1.24 million copies).
The fact that this game will have only about 1 week counted for NPD is a major reason why it should go down. If you look at SSBB, that game sold (going by official Nintendo numbers) 1.4 million copies in the U.S. in its first week. There is no way that I see Mario Kart getting as close to that first week number of SSBB as the current stock price suggests. Mario Kart Wii is not as hyped or as much of a immediate buy for as many Wii owners as a game like SSBB is.
In addition, casual Wii gamers are not as likely to get a game within its first week as more hardcore gamers are. More casual gamers will wait to get a game until either they actually hear about it (most likely through advertising) or it fits into their schedule/money situation/etc.
One last thing to mention is the first week sales for the most previous Mario Kart, Mario Kart DS - 112,000 (at the beginning of the holiday shopping season in the U.S.).
@apujanata,
I had re-read my question and it seemed a bit wordy... lol. :)