@JoshuaJSlone, You didn't really answer my point / question : "do you have any reason why you think this (Japan portion shifted to US) will not happen ? If you do, what is the cause ?"
I know that Japan was not Wii-supply-constrained. I do follow up those M-create H/W data, even though I didn't post there as often as I used to do.
If nothing big happen on week 21 - 27, April will see "only" 188K sold Wii. If May 2008 see 300K - 400K Wii sold, that mean there are 1.4 - 1.5 Million Wii unit available for Europe + NA in May, and 1.6 Million available for April. I still believe that it is a big possibility that US will get 650K - 700K unit shipped to them in April.
Remember the Toy R Us "biggest shipment of Wii" article ? In fact, if you go to "that forum" and check the "weekly update" topic, you will see an even more frightening #, which made my 650-700K for April estimate seem "pessimistic/downright insulting to Nintendo".
In short, I WOULD definitely not going to underestimate (or short) Wii's April #. Wii's May and June #, that is a different story. If after all this info you still think you want to short April Wii, then please do it. We will see who is right, you or me.
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You didn't really answer my point / question : "do you have any reason why you think this (Japan portion shifted to US) will not happen ? If you do, what is the cause ?"
I know that Japan was not Wii-supply-constrained. I do follow up those M-create H/W data, even though I didn't post there as often as I used to do.
If nothing big happen on week 21 - 27, April will see "only" 188K sold Wii. If May 2008 see 300K - 400K Wii sold, that mean there are 1.4 - 1.5 Million Wii unit available for Europe + NA in May, and 1.6 Million available for April. I still believe that it is a big possibility that US will get 650K - 700K unit shipped to them in April.
Remember the Toy R Us "biggest shipment of Wii" article ? In fact, if you go to "that forum" and check the "weekly update" topic, you will see an even more frightening #, which made my 650-700K for April estimate seem "pessimistic/downright insulting to Nintendo".
In short, I WOULD definitely not going to underestimate (or short) Wii's April #. Wii's May and June #, that is a different story. If after all this info you still think you want to short April Wii, then please do it. We will see who is right, you or me.