Oh well, the Wii launched in begin of december for me (European) so another two month to go in my head, but year, lets say 6 weeks ;)
In June (last known number) there where nearly 30 million shipped (according to Nintendo) and if you do a little math, they should have about 5-10 Million units stockpiled, for christmas. that comes in to the 2.4 Million/Month production they should have. The very least shipped number at end of the (calendar) year is 45 Million units. That is in 2 years and give it a month and a half ;)
And do not forget, it is still sold out in America. No price drop (in 2 years!) no colors, no bundles not ONE thing Sony and MS is doing constantly to drive sales. And do not forget that the "leading" console normally sell way longer than 2 years after the next consoles are released. Look at the PS2, still selling :)
What would give me worry is the economic downturn. At least this month. The chaos in America could really turn markets. I read reports that the car market overall is down 30% YoY in America in September. That is a lot. I think NPD will be interesting this month ;)
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Oh well, the Wii launched in begin of december for me (European) so another two month to go in my head, but year, lets say 6 weeks ;)
In June (last known number) there where nearly 30 million shipped (according to Nintendo) and if you do a little math, they should have about 5-10 Million units stockpiled, for christmas. that comes in to the 2.4 Million/Month production they should have. The very least shipped number at end of the (calendar) year is 45 Million units. That is in 2 years and give it a month and a half ;)
And do not forget, it is still sold out in America. No price drop (in 2 years!) no colors, no bundles not ONE thing Sony and MS is doing constantly to drive sales. And do not forget that the "leading" console normally sell way longer than 2 years after the next consoles are released. Look at the PS2, still selling :)
What would give me worry is the economic downturn. At least this month. The chaos in America could really turn markets. I read reports that the car market overall is down 30% YoY in America in September. That is a lot. I think NPD will be interesting this month ;)