I already had a lot invested in this game, and was continually buying more of it to clear out my time trust, but I just increased my position as much as the diversification rule would let me.
This stock is an absolute steal anywhere below 800DKP, and an appropriate value would be well above 1000DKP. 249K NPD in its third month in the US... Though it finally fell from its attach rate of over 100% down to 70%, it actually increased in weekly sales from March to April, 54K to 62K. (5-week March vs. 4-week April--all number derived from NPD).
Of course that attach rate will continue to come down, but its going to stay remarkably high for a pretty long time, in every region of the world. And it should maintain a huge attach ratio across the life of the console. 15% across 80 million Wiis would be 12 million copies.
But I'm thinking higher. 15, 20, 25 million would all be defensible predictions. Though that sounds insane, remember that this game won't sell like a game, but more like an extra controller. Would you be surprised if 40 million extra Wiimotes were sold on 80 million Wiis? And would you be surprised if half of those buying extra Wiimotes opted for Wii Play? There's 20 million copies right there.
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This stock is an absolute steal anywhere below 800DKP, and an appropriate value would be well above 1000DKP. 249K NPD in its third month in the US... Though it finally fell from its attach rate of over 100% down to 70%, it actually increased in weekly sales from March to April, 54K to 62K. (5-week March vs. 4-week April--all number derived from NPD).
Of course that attach rate will continue to come down, but its going to stay remarkably high for a pretty long time, in every region of the world. And it should maintain a huge attach ratio across the life of the console. 15% across 80 million Wiis would be 12 million copies.
But I'm thinking higher. 15, 20, 25 million would all be defensible predictions. Though that sounds insane, remember that this game won't sell like a game, but more like an extra controller. Would you be surprised if 40 million extra Wiimotes were sold on 80 million Wiis? And would you be surprised if half of those buying extra Wiimotes opted for Wii Play? There's 20 million copies right there.