Just curious, how was the February Future ever up at 50 DKP? Looks like it did take a drop when January NPD Data came out, but it didn't quite hold at the correction levels. I think the correction over the past two days was necessary. We will see soon enough though.
Nintendo got out a substantial supply of Wiis to coincide with the launch of SSBB. For example, Best Buy had a minimum of 15 per a store starting on the Sunday of Brawl's release.
They may be producing more than they forecasting to ship. Its possible Nintendo is holding back some supply and ship it in the next fiscal, meaning April. Some believe they did that last year.
Normal thoughts 1.8 Million Wii's to ship in April (if we believe production rate). How small the supply for NA can get?
The admin of VGC says there was a big shipment on sunday 24.2. Around 170k units. With 2 weeks of media core shipments before. Well, we will see soon enough (next week :)).
As I said 1.2 Million Wii's for Feb+March. If feb falls really way below 500 thousand it will be a hell of a march.
I heard from some american retailers that Wii ship-ins were half of what they were the last 2 weeks compared to the first 2 weeks of February. I am hearing only 400,000 units shipped to USA in February.
Has anyone else heard anything? I know before, Just_Ben proposed that Nintendo would hit their ship-in estimates and we should expect 400k+ for the next few months (USA). Although I do not doubt Just_Ben's argument, i was just curious if anyone else is seeing this.
Mario Kart is probably going to come out in early April as i doubt it will be too far behind the european release and i still believe there will be continued strong sales down to SSBB. remember it sold 360k last april and that was without any major releases i believe.
I very much doubt it will go below January numbers.
Isn't this looking a bit high for April? Mario Kart is confirmed to be shipping in Japan and Europe for early April (currently unknown for America, but some rumors do say end of April). Given what we saw with Brawl's Japanese launch (a shortage of units in America), could this happen for April as well?
In fact, I think we could see April numbers lower than January. Any units Nintendo might have stored up will be gone in March (Brawl) and two territories will be getting their other top-tier title in April.
I did some channel checks and it looks like Just_Ben's analysis on the Wii hardware situation is pretty spot on. This differs from the assumption I have made in previous comments. Although most Analysts wouldn't admit to being wrong, but by definition of me working for TSE, I admit that the crowd is smarter than the few.
Just_Ben, good stuff. Care to purchase my Wii Feb shorts at 39.50?
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