@apujanata,You think Guerilla would link to VG numbers (in this case) if they didn't agree with them? I'd think a company would be careful about doing that if it wasn't close to reality.
@apujanata, Since the source is VGC, not publisher/NPD/ELSPA/Gfk, I believe lots of simEx players would be very cautious in using this data. Anyone making investment based on VGC data should be prepared for "possibly big error margin", and invest accordingly.
@PhilHarrision, 1.5 Million sales ? I can prove that it (1.5 Million) comes from VGC, not formal KZ2 news.
Even though the link to 1.5 Million could indeed be found on the twitter feed, the source is NOT from them. The source is gamekicker, which take the news from ps3hype.nl and in the ps3hype.nl newssite, it is clearly indicated that they referenced VGC.
I see this stock stalling around 350-360. Any price below that and it in my eyes would be a good buy. This stock has some good merit. Keep an eye on this as this is solid even for being an older title.
I agree actually. Whilst there is always the "double" bump theory Shane Kim espoused for Halo 3 last year though I think Killzone 2 would have to be an astounding game for it to even having a chance of selling big in both months.
Likely Resistance 2 and Gears 2 will steal much of it's thunder. I'm not so worried about LBP but Jesse wrote an excellent analysis last year about FPS sales cannibalizing each other and that was on the Xbox 360 between a monster heavyweight Halo 3 and a lightweight contender The Orange Box. As I expect the PS3 to have a lower install base in Holiday 08 than the 360 did in 07 this effect can only be more pronounced with two games likely much closer in terms of hype and quality.
with the recent news that Killzone 2 would be hitting in September followed by Resistance 2 shortly thereafter along with the fact that Killzone 2 is coming out around the same time as LBP (which is my [and much of the media's] most hyped PS3 game honestly), i can't see sales of this game hitting 2.4 million. but we'll have to see i guess.
1