@shrapnelmagnet,All the release dates have this at TBA which means this could be released in 2009 for all we know.Nitendo might release this when the wii has a higher install base so they get a bigger install base and therefore huge quick sales.
OR
They could release it very soon and get good sales over a long period of time just like the DS.Mario kart DS is still selling well after what 2years? And sold 9million! on a 35million install.
It differs on when they will release it .My guess the second one.
Yeah, don't get me wrong - it's going to sell. A lot. I just wonder if the 11 million it's sitting at right now is really even reasonable.
I mean, using some big aproximations and VGCharts (which some people don't really like) it has the DS at 35.6 million units and Mario Kart DS approaching 10 million (if it continues selling).
I've seen the Nintendo 64 numbers at 32.9 million units and as you said, Mario Kart 64 sold 10 million.
SNES sales I've seen at 49 million with Super Mario Kart at nearly 9 million sales.
I think we could make draw a conclusion that historically, Mario Kart sells at ~30% of Hardware Sales - a 1/3 ratio... pretty impressive. But still, the Wii's at what? 11 Million? 12 Million year end?
If Wii is projected to sell far and above 40 million, then I'd say this stock is on track. I'm thinking that on a SimExchange scale, it'll be quite some time before we see the full 11+ million sales for Mario Kart... when does the stock get de-listed? Does it ever? Just seems like there's little money to be made on this one.
Again, maybe that's just the nature of the game :)
link@shrapnelmagnet, I dont know.This pretty much sells well on every console so far .Mario kart 64 sold about 10 million on nintendo64, super mario kart sold about 8.50 million on snes.id say it might a little tiny bit underpriced.but it all depends on how the wii sells.
Do you think that with less hardware, Mario Kart Wii will hit more than 9 million? Maybe by the time the console lifespan is up, but that's a very long investment.
This game has long legs at retailers, so it'll be quite the trickle for some time.
I have a feeling this stock will be over-valued for a long time and buying or shorting it now would require Sim Exchange to be around for an equal amount of time before we see the actual results. Could be a good short term buy while people go nuts for it...
@Hmmsphil, Because it doesn't come out until 1st quarter 08.
When we look at which futures to do for the month it comes out this is almost certainly going to be listed, and at that point it will get a future, metacritic, and lifetime stock.
3
OR
They could release it very soon and get good sales over a long period of time just like the DS.Mario kart DS is still selling well after what 2years? And sold 9million! on a 35million install.
It differs on when they will release it .My guess the second one.