I could see them selling 5-6 million copies based off their track record, quality, and the hype around this game. I am guessing that people at simexchange are going to dump this stock as soon they find some realism in their life.
diablo 3 serves to highlight everything that is wrong with the assumption that the participants in prediction markets are rational. i think the term that applies here in particular is "irrational exuberance" :) combine that with the name "blizzard" and its a recipe for seriously overvalued numbers.
as far as the sames numbers go, i cant for the life of me find where i saw that estimate... but ive seen those numbers thrown around more than a few times over the last year...
the idea that diablo 3 will have lifetime sales approaching or exceeding 15 million is utterly ludicrous.
does anyone else think that the current projections for d3 are nothing short of absolute lunacy? d2 has been out for 8 years and its lifetime sales are somewhere in the neighborhood of 10-11 million from what i can find... *eight years*... does anyone honestly expect d3 to do 14+ million in the 8 years after its release?
Blizzard has revealed the third (of five total) classes for Diablo 3: the Wizard. According to the press release, "A wielder of the elements and a master manipulator of time, the wizard can hurl environment-shattering lightning bolts, channel explosive arcane energies, and create pockets of space outside the normal temporal flow." The class, along with Barbarian and Witch Doctor, will be playable this weekend at BlizzCon.
@oznerol, I didn't mean to have a negative effect on your article, but I was familar with the other article claiming it to be false so I thought I should share that info instead of being silent about it.
2
It could be useful to get that kind of info for this stock, since I think would like to know WHY this stock is so high.