New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Wii)Nintendo Pres:New Super Mario Bros To Outsell MW2 (360) 2009Popzara Blogs - November 8, 2009
Submitted by yajimari21 (383)
at 4:50PM PST on November 8, 2009
During an interview to promote Nintendo's upcoming holiday line-up, (Nintendo America President) Reggie Fils-Ame claimed to GameTrailers host Geoff Keighley that New Super Mario Bros. Wii will outsell Modern Warfare 2...but only under very specific conditions. Asked whether players will pick up more copies of Mario throughout the season, Fils-Aime was quite confident "Absolutely. I say that unequivocally."
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Can I make money from shorting MW2 ? Yes, but the margin is only 500K out of 4 Million (total 3 month), which meant only 10% margin. I don't find 10% margin sufficient for shorting things. 30% margin or higher is needed as buffer, just in case I made a wrong prediction.
I am more in the camp of Reggie overestimating NSMB Wii US pulling power, but I wouldn't bet any significant money against it, again because of past performance of Wii games (like Wii Fit). Mario Kart Wii's long leg is another thing that make me wary shorting Wii games, which is why I missed the conduit's short boat.