Just because a game gets attention (not necessarily hype) does not always translate into game sales, especially on a system like the Wii were there might be less people inclined to follow game industry news.
Madden 08 for the Wii had most of August to sell, yet it only managed to sell 115,600 copies. Madden 08 has much more hype, is much more popular and has a larger audience than Manhunt, but it only managed to sell around 100k.
Mario Strikers Charged for the Wii had all of August to sell and it only managed to sell 147,400 copies. Mario Strikers Charged is also a game that is more popular and has a larger audience than Manhunt, but it only managed to sell 150,000 copies during the month of August.
Big Brain Academy for the Wii had most of June to sell yet only managed to sell 89.8K. This game fits the supposed Wii crowd more, has a larger audience and is more accessible than Manhunt, but it only managed to sell 89.8K in its first month, keep in mind this was during the summer months when there is much less competition.
Looking at all those past Wii games, I do not think Manhunt will be even able to reach the 100k sales mark. It has a small audience, it does not have any real hype (people don't get excited to pick up a game that has just been rated AO) and it is being released during a time when there is a lot of competition. From all these things I do not think this game will reach the 100k mark and so this Future is currently overvalued and should be closer or below 10DKP.
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Just because a game gets attention (not necessarily hype) does not always translate into game sales, especially on a system like the Wii were there might be less people inclined to follow game industry news.
Madden 08 for the Wii had most of August to sell, yet it only managed to sell 115,600 copies. Madden 08 has much more hype, is much more popular and has a larger audience than Manhunt, but it only managed to sell around 100k.
Mario Strikers Charged for the Wii had all of August to sell and it only managed to sell 147,400 copies. Mario Strikers Charged is also a game that is more popular and has a larger audience than Manhunt, but it only managed to sell 150,000 copies during the month of August.
Big Brain Academy for the Wii had most of June to sell yet only managed to sell 89.8K. This game fits the supposed Wii crowd more, has a larger audience and is more accessible than Manhunt, but it only managed to sell 89.8K in its first month, keep in mind this was during the summer months when there is much less competition.
Looking at all those past Wii games, I do not think Manhunt will be even able to reach the 100k sales mark. It has a small audience, it does not have any real hype (people don't get excited to pick up a game that has just been rated AO) and it is being released during a time when there is a lot of competition. From all these things I do not think this game will reach the 100k mark and so this Future is currently overvalued and should be closer or below 10DKP.