I don't have much faith in Halo fanboys, because I know many of them and none of them are considering picking up this game. 2.3 million for an RTS on a console (especially the Xbox360, if it was on the PS2, maybe), seems absurdly high to me, that would make it the third best selling game for the Xbox360.
I doubt Microsoft will be able to create the kind of hype it has created for the FPS Halo games, RTSs don't have blood-pumping action, you can't have the surge of adrenaline that an "Over Kill" or "Killmonjaro" can produce. Because of this, it would be hard to market this to the legion of teenagers and 20 somethings who buy the Halo FPSs.
Also, the quality of Ensemble Studios's games has been slipping since AoE2, while they are still a top notch developer, I don't think they can be trusted to deliver a sure-fire AAA title. Since I expect this to fall just short of being a AAA title, I do not see RTS players picking it up en masse, causing it to lose its largest potential audience.
For all these reasons (and ones I have stated before), I think this game will sell at most 1.6 million copies (160DKP).
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I don't have much faith in Halo fanboys, because I know many of them and none of them are considering picking up this game. 2.3 million for an RTS on a console (especially the Xbox360, if it was on the PS2, maybe), seems absurdly high to me, that would make it the third best selling game for the Xbox360.
I doubt Microsoft will be able to create the kind of hype it has created for the FPS Halo games, RTSs don't have blood-pumping action, you can't have the surge of adrenaline that an "Over Kill" or "Killmonjaro" can produce. Because of this, it would be hard to market this to the legion of teenagers and 20 somethings who buy the Halo FPSs.
Also, the quality of Ensemble Studios's games has been slipping since AoE2, while they are still a top notch developer, I don't think they can be trusted to deliver a sure-fire AAA title. Since I expect this to fall just short of being a AAA title, I do not see RTS players picking it up en masse, causing it to lose its largest potential audience.
For all these reasons (and ones I have stated before), I think this game will sell at most 1.6 million copies (160DKP).