This future is overvalued. Looking at most past Xbox360 'hardcore' games, they have a huge drop off between first month and second month sales, and especially since this will be available nearly the whole month of November, I think most of the sales will occur during that month. I do not think that this game will be helped by Christmas sales because most of the people that would want to play it will have already picked this game up. I think a price of 35DKP seems more realistic, and even that may be to high.
Just look at the large drop off between Bioshock first month and second month sales (490,900 August 2007 vs 150,000 September 2007) and between Madden 08 first month and second month sales (896,600 August 2007 vs 173,000 September 2007). Neither of those games even had the full first month available to them for sales, which means CoD4, which has the whole month of November to sell, should have an even larger drop off.
From all of this 35DKP seems like the max amount this should be for the December 2007 Future.
1
This future is overvalued. Looking at most past Xbox360 'hardcore' games, they have a huge drop off between first month and second month sales, and especially since this will be available nearly the whole month of November, I think most of the sales will occur during that month. I do not think that this game will be helped by Christmas sales because most of the people that would want to play it will have already picked this game up. I think a price of 35DKP seems more realistic, and even that may be to high.
Just look at the large drop off between Bioshock first month and second month sales (490,900 August 2007 vs 150,000 September 2007) and between Madden 08 first month and second month sales (896,600 August 2007 vs 173,000 September 2007). Neither of those games even had the full first month available to them for sales, which means CoD4, which has the whole month of November to sell, should have an even larger drop off.
From all of this 35DKP seems like the max amount this should be for the December 2007 Future.