Valid point, but I think that CoD4 has to deal with two, more entrenched consoles than its predecessor did during the last holiday season. Last year the PS3 and Wii had just been launched and neither had a large user base. Now a year later the Wii has a user base equal (or larger) than the Xbox360s and the PS3 has a user base large enough to syphon off sales from this game on the Xbox360. Also, Gears of War was like Halo, while I think that CoD4 will be a great game, I don't think it is on the level of GoW or Halo, so I don't think it will sustain high sales like GoW did. Due to these reasons I still think that the December 2007 CoD4 future is overvalued, though maybe it should be in the 43-50DKP range.
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Valid point, but I think that CoD4 has to deal with two, more entrenched consoles than its predecessor did during the last holiday season. Last year the PS3 and Wii had just been launched and neither had a large user base. Now a year later the Wii has a user base equal (or larger) than the Xbox360s and the PS3 has a user base large enough to syphon off sales from this game on the Xbox360. Also, Gears of War was like Halo, while I think that CoD4 will be a great game, I don't think it is on the level of GoW or Halo, so I don't think it will sustain high sales like GoW did. Due to these reasons I still think that the December 2007 CoD4 future is overvalued, though maybe it should be in the 43-50DKP range.