Uncharted: Drake's Fortune and Ratchet & Clank Future: Tools of Destruction are basically in the same genre, one in Action Adventure, the other is Action. You assume that because Uncharted: Drake's Fortune received a T rating and Ratchet & Clank Future: Tools of Destruction received a E rating that Uncharted somehow resonates with the PS3 crowd more than Ratchet. Ratchet sold pretty well on the PS2 and was a respected series, so why would it resonate less with the PS3 crowd?
The claim you make is quite extraordinary and I would need to see equally good data to back up such a claim. At the moment I do not see such data and therefore based off of current data this game will do poorly sales wise. Consider Lair, which would fit your 'mature' PS3 crowd quite well, sold 38.71% worse than we anticipated settling at 57,800 copies in its first month. Heavenly Sword, which would also fit your 'mature' PS3 crowd, yet did 23.37% worse than we predicted, settling 139,000 copies in its first month. Both these were as hyped, if not more so, as much as Uncharted, yet both sold much less than we anticipated. Combine that this game will be facing stiffer competition than they did and it doesn't seem likely that a new IP will be able to get 1.5 million sales on a struggling console.
Due to these factors the game should be around 100-115DKP.
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Uncharted: Drake's Fortune and Ratchet & Clank Future: Tools of Destruction are basically in the same genre, one in Action Adventure, the other is Action. You assume that because Uncharted: Drake's Fortune received a T rating and Ratchet & Clank Future: Tools of Destruction received a E rating that Uncharted somehow resonates with the PS3 crowd more than Ratchet. Ratchet sold pretty well on the PS2 and was a respected series, so why would it resonate less with the PS3 crowd?
The claim you make is quite extraordinary and I would need to see equally good data to back up such a claim. At the moment I do not see such data and therefore based off of current data this game will do poorly sales wise. Consider Lair, which would fit your 'mature' PS3 crowd quite well, sold 38.71% worse than we anticipated settling at 57,800 copies in its first month. Heavenly Sword, which would also fit your 'mature' PS3 crowd, yet did 23.37% worse than we predicted, settling 139,000 copies in its first month. Both these were as hyped, if not more so, as much as Uncharted, yet both sold much less than we anticipated. Combine that this game will be facing stiffer competition than they did and it doesn't seem likely that a new IP will be able to get 1.5 million sales on a struggling console.
Due to these factors the game should be around 100-115DKP.