Outside of the US, the next strongest market for GTA:IV is the UK (since in Japan it's not even out). The UK market strongly mirrors the US market (360 2m, PS3 1m in HW, 60:40 split in GTA:IV SW). Canada, another significant market, is likely to be the same. Well over 1m of those 8.5m is going to be the UK alone.
I'm not sure GTA:IV is strong enough in continental Europe (where the PS3 is doing much better than the 360) to make much of an impact on these trends. In Germany, the next biggest European market, it was ousted by Age of Conan after only a week.
I don't disagree with any of your assertions. It probably is around 3m or so, it will sell for a long time. Just not to 7m.
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Outside of the US, the next strongest market for GTA:IV is the UK (since in Japan it's not even out). The UK market strongly mirrors the US market (360 2m, PS3 1m in HW, 60:40 split in GTA:IV SW). Canada, another significant market, is likely to be the same. Well over 1m of those 8.5m is going to be the UK alone.
I'm not sure GTA:IV is strong enough in continental Europe (where the PS3 is doing much better than the 360) to make much of an impact on these trends. In Germany, the next biggest European market, it was ousted by Age of Conan after only a week.
I don't disagree with any of your assertions. It probably is around 3m or so, it will sell for a long time. Just not to 7m.